Month: November 2013
Since 2006, Germany has been running annual trade surpluses of over 6% of GDP, making it hard for Southern European nations to export their way to prosperity. While the EU is employing harsh adjectives with Berlin in an attempt to…
Read MoreWhile most of the economic data released last week was hum drum, the two biggest data points surprised to the upside. Q3 GDP came in at 2.8%, when all genius economists expected 2%, and employment growth was a robust 204,000,…
Read MoreDuring the seven and a half months the US fought in WWI, 116,516 American soldiers were killed, almost 9% of all US war deaths and more deaths than in all US wars combined since, with the exception of WWII. During…
Read MoreThe Friday File: 3% of gamblers provide 50% of casino revenues, and 10% of gamblers provide 80% of all revenues. Over a two year period, among the 10% of customers who gambled least, 17% wound up ahead, while just 5.4%…
Read MoreFor the Fed to taper their purchases of Treasuries and MBS, GDP growth needs to be above 2.5%, net new job growth needs to approach 200,000/month, the annual inflation rate should be nearing 2%, and the unemployment rate should be…
Read MoreWhile corporate tax reform is admittedly a longshot, here are two ideas that should rank high in any effort. Eliminate the business deduction for interest payments so that debt would not have more favorable tax treatment than equity. Second, require…
Read MoreIndustrial production (IP) is now less than 1% below where it was before the start of the Great Recession. The decline in production was 17%, and so far it’s taken us 70 months to almost recover. By comparison, it took…
Read MoreWith year-over-year inflation in Europe running at just 0.7%, and core inflation at a record low of 0.8%, the European Central Bank should seriously consider an interest rate cut at their meeting this Thursday. While it won’t improve weak bank…
Read MoreThe Friday File: Despite the tremendous economic and political strides made by women in many sectors of the economy, they remain shockingly underrepresented in corporate crime. Between 2002 and 2009, fewer than one in ten defendants was a woman. Moreover,…
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