Posts Tagged ‘Graphsandlaughs’
Sudsy Sales
The Friday File: The economy is improving! Beer volume rose 1.2% in 2012, to 2.8 billion cases – that’s 210 beers/person, pushing revenues up 3.5% to $62.3 billion. This largely makes up for the 1.3% decline in beer volume in 2011. Super-premium, domestic craft and imports are fermenting heady sales, while mainstream domestics are losing…
Read MoreTerrific Tax
Among the demands the Republicans have put forward to end the government shutdown is repeal of the 2.5% medical device tax which took effect 1/1/13. It is a spectacular tax because no one will change their behavior because of it. If you need an artificial hip, you will not now cancel your operation because of…
Read MoreTaper Tiger
Given the government closure and resulting lack of economic data, the fact that Q3 GDP growth will be below 2% and that inflation remains very tame, virtually guarantees that tapering will not commence following the conclusion of the late October Fed interest rate setting meeting. Now with the formal nomination of Janet Yellen for the…
Read MoreWomen’s Work
Full-time working women earned 76.5 cents for every dollar earned by men in 2012, virtually unchanged from 2011. Interestingly, pay gaps are narrowing for all but the youngest. Women 25 to 44 earned 80 cents, up from 74 cents in 1993. Similarly women 45 to 64 earned 73 cents up from 61 cents in 1993.…
Read MoreDebt Ceiling Catastrophe
The government shutdown, if short, will mildly depress Q4 GDP growth. The same can’t be said for failing to raise the debt ceiling. The government currently runs a $640 billion deficit/year, 4% of GDP, while GDP growth is 2%. If the debt ceiling isn’t raised, the budget must be balanced, thus federal spending would drop…
Read MoreDamn Drugs
The Friday File: Use of performance enhancing drugs is rampant despite the fact that there are tests and getting caught often results in huge penalties. The reason, inspectors don’t take testing seriously. Otherwise, they would catch to many athletes, sponsors would quit and fans would bail (think cycling). By testing half-heartedly, you get the best…
Read MorePresidential Path
With the debt ceiling fast approaching, President Obama is caught between borrowing no more than Congress will allow him, or paying what Congress has instructed him to do, but not both. Either way, he breaks the law. Given the huge economic consequences of not paying our bills, President Obama must breach the debt ceiling. Should…
Read MoreChanging Faces
By 2018, non-Hispanic whites under 18 will be less than 50% of the population under 18, with Hispanics, Asians and blacks collectively being the majority. By 2043, more than half the entire US population will be Hispanic, Asian or black and by 2060, more than half of the population over 65 will be Hispanic, Asian…
Read MoreFurlough Farce
With federal workers averaging $108,500/year in salary and benefits, if all 820,000 furloughed federal workers never came back, the total savings to the Treasury would be $90 billion/year. In a budget of roughly $3.5 trillion, that’s just 2.6% of all spending. Even as a percentage of the $642 billion FY13 deficit, a reduction of $90…
Read MoreLower Limits
While Capitol Hill talks about housing finance reform, Fannie and Freddie’s regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, is doing something. They have already repeatedly raised the guarantee fee borrowers pay to insure their mortgages are paid off should they default. Moreover, come 1/14 conforming loan limits for Fannie and Freddie mortgages may be reduced. These…
Read More