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The euro’s dramatic fall against the dollar, due to Europe’s economic weakness, will reduce US inflationary pressures, hurt US exports and reduce equity values. Therefore, the Fed may wait longer before raising rates. However, the ECB is hoping the Fed…
Read MoreToday French economist Jean Tirole won the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences. His research focuses on industries dominated by a few large firms — like credit cards, banks, cable companies, Internet search — and how to regulate them. Because there…
Read MoreThe Friday File: Last week a single lot of 114 bottles of Romanee-Conti burgundy wine sold at auction for $1.6 million, or $14,035/bottle or OMG, $2,550/glass! The price of $1.6 million broke the old record for a single lot of…
Read MoreGerman industrial output fell 4% and manufacturing activity dropped 5.7% last month. Italy is back in recession, France’s GDP growth is 0%, the IMF is calling for European officials to “do more” and the risk of Europe entering a recession…
Read MoreBeyond the terrible human toll, Ebola is exacting a huge financial cost. By 12/31/2014 Ebola will cost Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone $360 million; 3% of GDP – equivalent to $500 billion here in the US – and all of…
Read MoreThis past week was the 12th straight that the US dollar has strengthened against a basket of six major world currencies. As a result, the price of oil has been falling. As oil is quoted in US dollars, as currencies…
Read MoreLast Friday’s employment data had something for everyone. Payrolls grew by a whopping 248,000, the unemployment rate plummeted to 5.9%, its lowest level since 7/08, and the number of involuntary part-time workers declined. But the labor force participation rate fell…
Read MoreThe Friday File: Former Fed head Ben Bernanke, someone who knows a thing or two about home mortgages as under his watch the Fed purchased $1.5 trillion of them, was unable to refinance his mortgage. Here’s a guy who earns…
Read MoreThe final reading of Q2 US GDP growth was just pegged at an annual rate of 4.6%. With this, US GDP growth has exceeded 3.5% for three of the past four quarters. Moreover, consumer spending is inching up, government headwinds…
Read MoreSales of new homes hit an annualized seasonally adjusted rate of 504,000, the best reading since 5/08. But one month is not a trend, the data are very volatile, and unusually, August had five weekends, prime buying time. YTD new…
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