Month: January 2024
While the Fed didn’t lower interest rates after today’s meeting, it suggested that cuts are on the way. However, by reiterating that he wants to see continued declines in inflationary pressures before the Fed cuts rates, Powell gave markets no…
Read MoreAt present, the Fed funds rate is 5.375% and the Fed’s preferred inflation measure is 2.6%, making the real Fed funds rate, Fed funds minus inflation, 2.775%. Dating back to 1954, the median real Fed funds rate has been 2.8%…
Read MoreThe amount of money in all passively managed (index) U.S. mutual funds and ETFs recently surpassed $13.3 trillion. That exceeds, for the first time, the amount in actively managed mutual funds and ETFs at $13.2 trillion. The amount in passively…
Read MoreThe U.S. economy grew by an unexpectedly strong 3.3% in 23Q4, and growth for the year was 3.1%, well above expectations and the dismal 0.7% in 2022. Credit belongs to consumers who were unrelenting in their spending, charging, borrowing, and…
Read MoreDecember existing housing sales slid to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 3.87 million, the lowest level since 8/10 and the end of the second round of ill-fated congressionally enacted first-time homebuyer incentives. Excluding that, 12/23 was the worst month…
Read MoreFor pre-Covid year ending 2/20, interest payments totaled $550 billion and the average interest rate on all outstanding U.S. Treasuries was 2.4%. Interest payments and the average interest rate paid both bottomed out for the year ending 1/22 at $320…
Read MoreRecent data show boosting capital investment in public schools raises student test scores and nearby home prices. Conversely, investment in basic school infrastructure such as HVAC or the removal of pollutants to improve student health/safety boosts test scores but not…
Read MoreThe Friday File: In 2023, of the 100 most watched broadcasts, NFL football accounted for an astonishing 93! Moreover, of the remaining seven sports, three were college football and one was the Super-Bowl Lead-Out (a coveted slot immediately following the…
Read MoreIn 1981, the median age of a first-time home buyer was 29, and the average age of a repeat buyer was 36. In 2001, the median ages were, respectively, 32 and 45. In 2022, during the Covid pandemic, and after…
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