Archive for November 2014
A recent Inman News article where Dr. Eisenberg shares his thoughts about where the economy and housing market are headed in 2015.
Elliot Eisenberg’s 2015 economic outlook published in an article on Inman News.
Read MoreLowly Lobbyists
Abe Lincoln signed a Presidential Proclamation declaring Thanksgiving the last Thursday in November starting in 1863. After lobbying by the Retail Dry Goods Association, FDR proclaimed Thanksgiving to be next to last Thursday in November 1939/1940/1941 to lengthen the holiday shopping season. Eventually, a compromise was reached, and since 1942, Thanksgiving has been observed on…
Read MoreMediocre Movement
With Q3 GDP growth just revised up to 3.9% and Q2 GDP growth at 4.6%, the last six months have been the best stretch of GDP growth in over a decade. But year-over-year growth is still just 2.4%, compensation growth was revised down to 3.5% from 4% in Q3 and from 5.3% to 2.8% in…
Read MoreSino Slowing
As China’s economy slows, many are overly complacent and point to $4 trillion in foreign reserves that can always be spent to cushion any downturn. The problem is repatriating those funds would mean selling US Dollars and buying Chinese Yuan. That would raise the value of the Yuan and hurt exports. The primary reason the…
Read MoreMusic Mad
The Friday File: 77% of all revenue from recorded music goes to the top 1% of bands and solo artists. The 10 best-selling tracks now generate 82% more sales than 10 years ago, while the top 10 songs receive twice the airtime today than in 2004. Seven of the 10 most popular songs of all-time…
Read MoreDynamic Data
While the rest of the planet economically cools or worse, goes into reverse, today’s data shows that the US economy is doing well. First-time weekly claims for unemployment insurance fell and are remarkably low, existing home sales rose 1.5% and are at their highest level of the year, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index hit its…
Read MoreFHA Fix
The annual FY14 FHA audit finds that it went from having net worth of negative $1.1 billion to positive $4.8 billion and now has a capital reserve of 0.41%, or a leverage ratio of 243! Because of this “success” some now suggest reducing the FHA annual mortgage premium from 1.35%. Lowering it will not only…
Read MoreNervous Nippon
With Q3 Japanese GDP growth coming in at -0.4%, Japan is back in recession for the third time since the end of the Great Recession. Amazingly, since the start of 2010, Japan has been in recession 47% of the time and Japanese GDP is now back where it was in Q4 2008. All too predictably,…
Read MoreImmigration Idiocy
President Obama’s looming decision to grant amnesty to millions of illegals via Executive Order following a political drubbing is incomprehensible. It suggests Obama believes he can’t pass immigration reform through legislation, and is willing to deprive the next president the chance to do so in bipartisan fashion, something critically needed given the magnitude of the…
Read MoreRelaxing Riches
The Friday File: Between 1976 and 2000, Americans used an average of 20.3 vacation days/year. Since then, it’s steadily declined and now stands at just 16 days/year. As some of the unused days cannot be paid out, banked or rolled over, Americans lose 169 million vacation days/year. Worse, this lack of vacationing costs the economy…
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