Pathetic Predictions
06/25/2014 | | Economic forecasting, Eisenberg and housing economics, Eisenberg and public speaking, Elliot eisenberg, GDP, Graphsandlaughs, MLS, Multiple listing service, Public speaking economist, Q1 GDP, econ70, economist on TV, economist on radio, eisenberg and economics, funniest economist, funny housing economist, graphsandlaughs and eisenberg, housing sales, mortgage banking, politics and economics, www.econ70.com
On 4/30/14 Q1 GDP (which ended a month earlier) was estimated at 0.1%. On 5/29/14 it was revised down to -1.0%, and on 6/25/14, three months after the end of Q1, it was knocked down to -2.9%! The difference between the first and the third estimates of Q1 GDP is three percentage points, or $125 billion; the annual GDP of New Zealand! The takeaway, trust economic forecasts at your peril!