RUSSIAN REQUIEM

During the first year of Russia’s Ukraine invasion, Russian casualties averaged 10,800/month. In CY2023, they averaged 20,800/month. In CY2024, 35,270/month, and through 4/25, they’re exceeding 40,000/month. While Putin may preach Russian victory inevitability, casualties approaching one million and staggering equipment losses for trivial territorial gains are unsustainable. A second mobilization/draft may be necessary. The first was wildly unpopular. Continuing the invasion is disastrous, but for Putin a ceasefire is worse.