Growing Growth
03/03/2015 | | bow-tied economist, econ70, Economic forecasting, economist on radio, economist on TV, eisenberg and economics, Eisenberg and housing economics, Eisenberg and public speaking, Elliot eisenberg, funniest economist, funny housing economist, Graphsandlaughs, graphsandlaughs and eisenberg, housing sales, MLS, mortgage banking, Multiple listing service, politics and economics, Public speaking economist, www.econ70.com
While Q4 GDP was revised down to 2.2% from just 2.6%, things are better than they appear. The revision was entirely due to slower inventory accumulation. Excluding inventories and trade gets at real domestic demand, and it grew at a solid 3.2% while household spending was revised down just 0.1% to a healthy 4.2%. This shows demand is strong and 2015 GDP should exceed 2.75%, the best performance since 2005.