MIDTERM MAGIC
10/12/2026 |
Dating back to the midterm elections of 1954, in 16 of the past 19 midterm election years the S&P 500 posted positive returns in the 4th quarter, with an average gain of 6.6%. The best gain was 20.9% in 98Q4, followed by 16.8% in 82Q4 and 12.1% in 62Q4. The only three losing periods were -0.7% in 94Q4, -6.3% in 78Q4, and -14% in 18Q4. I’m all in, then again…