The velocity of money is the number of times a unit of currency is used to buy domestically produced goods and services during a fixed period of time. The velocity of M1 (cash and checking accounts) has fallen by 38% since the start of the Great Recession, while M2 (M1 plus savings accounts, CDs and money market accounts) has declined by 19%. Note, QE has not substantially altered these numbers.
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Debt Default
If the US defaults, short-term Treasuries, the most traded and liquid securities in the world and which often act as collateral for loans to banks and central banks, would lose their cash equivalence. This would immediately boost interest rates demanded by lenders while some lenders would refuse such collateral outright. Worse, as short-term funding is used in so many areas of the economy, the rise in rates would be pervasive.
Presidential Path
With the debt ceiling fast approaching, President Obama is caught between borrowing no more than Congress will allow him, or paying what Congress has instructed him to do, but not both. Either way, he breaks the law. Given the huge economic consequences of not paying our bills, President Obama must breach the debt ceiling. Should Congress take him to court over this, the judge would side with Obama.
Spectacular Sailing
In a remarkable comeback, Team USA reeled in eight straight wins to capture the America’s Cup competition 9 to 8. They actually won 11 races but were docked two wins for infractions before the series began. The $300 million US entry, Oracle Team USA, which sailed at speeds of 50 mph, was financed by Larry Ellison, the world’s eighth richest man. Sadly, just one of the 11 crewmen was American.