Delayed Draghi

With unemployment at 11.8%, GDP growth barely positive, inflation at a microscopic 0.7% and the ECB balance sheet a trillion euro smaller than it was in 7/12, Mario Draghi will finally engage in stimulative monetary policy. While buying sovereign bonds won’t happen, negative interest rates, purchases of bank loans and long-term loans to banks at low rates are likely. These steps will, at minimum, weaken the euro and boost exports.

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