Posts Tagged ‘Graphsandlaughs’
Houses for Nothing
According to CoreLogic, house prices rose 7.4% for the 12 months ending 11/12 (6.7% excluding short sales), the best numbers since 5/06! With 30-year mortgage rates at 3.4%, this means that the real cost of financing a home is NEGATIVE 4%! That’s like getting paid 4%/year to buy a house. As a result, it’s not…
Read MoreBaby Me!
The Friday File: To see if having children shortens your life, childless couples who sought in vitro fertilization (IVR) and were successful were compared to those who tried and were unsuccessful. Turns out women who ended up childless had a death rate four times greater than those who gave birth. For childless men, the death…
Read MoreOctane Economics
Because households irrationally assign fixed amounts to budget categories such as clothes or food, price changes within a category can result in bizarre behavior; case in point, gasoline. Seems a rise in gas prices (which reduces purchasing power) causes households to shift from high-grade gasoline to low-grade gasoline 20 times more than when purchasing power…
Read MoreInvisible Inflation
While the economy is improving, inflation is MIA. Wages adjusted for inflation were up just 0.3% in 2012 after falling 1% in 2011. Meanwhile, the CPI and core CPI (excluding food and energy) were up 1.7% and 1.9% respectively in 2012. Similarly, the producer price index (PPI) and core PPI were up just 1.3% and…
Read MoreCheap Charity
By raising marginal tax rates for the upper 1% of the population from 35% to 39.6%, passage of the fiscal cliff avoidance bill will encourage increased charitable giving by the rich because it’s cheaper! To be precise, it’s 7.8% cheaper even after the phase-out of Schedule A deductions is considered. This unintended consequence will result…
Read MoreBudget Deficit Perspective
In 2009, the budget deficit hit a post WWII record of 10.1% of GDP as receipts fell to a 60-year low of 15.1% of GDP, while outlays hit a 60-year high of 25.2%. Only between 1942 and 1945 has the deficit ever been worse, topping out at 30.3% in 1943. The deficit is now 8.5%…
Read MoreBefuddling BMI
The Friday File: Researchers find that being overweight (BMI between 25 and 30) surprisingly lowers risk of death by 6%, and having a BMI between 30 and 35, by 5%! While no one knows why, health experts are spinning like bad economists. Maybe BMI is flawed or maybe by setting the normal category between 18.5…
Read MoreDeath of a Giant
James McGill Buchannan, winner of the 1986 Nobel Prize in economics, died earlier this week. He was best known for promoting public choice theory, an approach which treats politicians and bureaucrats as utility-maximizing economic agents motivated by self-interest. Rather than making more money, bureaucrats and politicians aim to win reelection, gain more power, more budget…
Read MoreMoney in my Pocket
Total debt service payments as percentage of disposable income have fallen from a peak of 14.1% in 7/07 to just 10.6% today, a level last seen in 10/93; a decline of 25%. This is due to a combination of low interest rates, rising disposable income, and lots of mortgage defaults, which have reduced household debt…
Read MoreDeclining Deductions
With passage of the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 (the fiscal cliff bill), the residential real estate industry dodged a bullet. While Schedule A deductions are phased out for couples with incomes above $300,000, the phaseout is mild. A couple with $500,000 of income would be $200,000 over the $300,000 limit. Thus, their deductions…
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