Tag Archives: Government spending

Government Diversion

Federal government spending has steadily increased from 14% of GDP in 1950 to about 25% today. Because of this, legislators and bureaucrats are increasingly lobbied in an effort to have them bestow government largess on one group or another. Unfortunately, this is a zero-sum game. Were government spending to decline, so would the importance of government freeing up energy and creativity to be devoted to the private sector.

Government Goes On!

If a continuing resolution is not passed by the Congress by 3/27/13, the Obama administration will be forced to shut down activities funded by appropriations and all non-essential government operations. But this isn’t that ominous. Only 40% of federal spending relies on appropriations and two-thirds of that is considered “essential” and thus will continue even absent Congressional funding. Thus, each day the government is closed costs only about $2 billion.

GDP = C+I+G+(X-M)

Q1 ’12 GDP was composed of personal consumption expenditures (C) totaling $11.0 trillion, private investment (I) of $2.0 trillion, government spending (G) of $3.0 trillion and net exports (E) of -$0.6 trillion. In Q2, G will be slightly lower, with E and I largely unchanged. So, overall GDP growth will be dependent on C. But C is growing by at most 1.5%, so GDP growth won’t exceed an anemic 1.9%.

Bigger Than You Think!

How big is the US welfare state? Bigger than you think! In Europe, governments subsidize industry, and provide healthcare and day-care, through high taxes. Here we do the same thing, but with special (charitable, medical) deductions, (childcare) tax credits and exemptions. Adding back these items (totaling $600 billion) increases government spending by 20%! This puts us behind Sweden, but ahead of many others and above the European average.