All interest rate increases aren’t created equal. A rise in 10-year treasury rates from 2%, where they are now, to 3% or 4% is a sign of improving business conditions and opportunities resulting from a strengthening economy. By contrast, a rise in rates from, say, 5% to 7% or 8% is a sign of an overheating economy that is creating systematic inflationary pressures and must be cooled.
Tag Archives: Fiscal Stimulus
Countercyclical Measures
Including the stimulus, tax cuts, bailouts, home and car subsidies and automatic stabilizers (i.e. unemployment insurance and food stamps) the Great Recession will add about $4.2 trillion to the federal debt by the time it ends. The largest contributor; automatic stabilizers. They kick in when the economy slows. These stabilizers will add about $1.9 trillion to the debt by the time the economy is back to normal in 2016.