The Five Little PIIGS

In October ’08 European banks looked pretty healthy; they held few toxic US mortgage backed securities. But, this strength was a fiction. European banks met their Waterloo in large holdings of euro-denominated sovereign debt of the PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain). The banks assumed that Germany, France, and other strong European economies would…

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Political Problems Pemeate

A lack of progress over the U.S. debt ceiling and intensifying contagion concerns in Europe (Portugal, Spain and Italy may go the way of Greece and Ireland) have triggered a further flight-to-safety; equity markets are generally in retreat and quality government bonds are rallying. The weak job numbers make the possibility of QE3 more likely;…

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