At today’s press conference, Fed Chairwoman Yellen did away with forward guidance. Instead, she suggested that the Fed will rely on an array of lagging economic indicators to set policy. She is signaling that the Fed will keep interest rates exceptionally low and allow inflation to systematically exceed 2%; appropriately dovish policies. Separately, her suggestion that the stock market is not elevated will inevitably send it higher.
Tag Archives: Fed policy
Hazardous Headwinds
While the economy is improving, it’s now facing huge headwinds. They include the need for a Continuing Resolution, hitting the debt ceiling, Syria and its impact on oil prices, who will be the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve, the start date of tapering, fear about whether Abenomics will work in Japan, and concerns about US interest rate hikes reverberating across European peripheral nations and emerging-markets. Expect increased short-term volatility.