Recession Reduces Romance

US births fell for a 3rd straight year. Births peaked at 4.3 million in ’07 but by ’10 births were just 4 million. In ’08 and ’09 the only increase in births was for women over 40. The decline is tied to the economy. Women who are unemployed or who have other financial strains are…

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Texas; #1 in Job Growth

37% of all net new jobs created since the recovery began were created in TX. TX has added 265K net jobs. NY was 2nd with 98K, PA 93K. TX is also one of 4 states that has more jobs now than when the recession began; the others are ND, AK and DC. Over the last…

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A Rise in Earnings?

In the early ’90s Pfizer patented sildenafil to treat various heart-related conditions. That patent expires in ’12. During clinical trials men taking sildenafil experienced spontaneous erections. This led Pfizer to develop the same drug (Viagra) for ED. Pfizer then applied for a second patent on sildenafil as an ED drug. That patent ends in ’19.…

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Peak GDP Growth; Dismal!

On a 4-quarter trailing basis real GDP growth peaked at 3.2% in Q3 of last year, declined to 2.8% in Q4 and now stands at just 2.3% If that Q3 peak of 3.2% holds, it will be the be the lowest post-recession GDP peak ever recorded in the post WWII era. For purposes of comparison,…

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Debt Ceiling Decisions

The Congress will raise the debt ceiling! There have been 6 Biden Summit meetings (hosted by VP Biden and attended by 3 key players from each party) in the past 6 weeks but 3 are scheduled for this week, the heated rhetoric is gone and this weekend Obama and Speaker Boehner will play golf and…

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Shift to Capital Goods

According to the Dept. of Comm. since the recovery began business spending on employees has increased 2%, while spending on equipment and software (E&S) has risen 26%. A spending rebound that divergent has only occurred once–after the ’82 recession. This is happening because E&S prices are down 2.4% since the recovery began while labor costs…

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Triple Crown Drought

The Triple Crown drought has reached 33 years since Seattle Slew won in ’78 (Secretariat in ’73). Why the dearth? The ’85 tax law changes proved dramatic. Owners no longer could write off racing expenses unless they were involved on a daily basis. This resulted in a huge fall in foal crops. The 25K born…

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Stupid Senator Shelby

In April ’10 Obama nominated MIT economist Peter Diamond, to be a Fed governor. Sen Shelby questioned his experience. Moreover, he got all the R’s on the Sen Banking Comm. to vote against confirmation. In Oct ’10 Diamond won the Nobel Prize in economics! In Jan ’11 Obama rightly renominated him yet Shelby prevailed and…

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Come Fly Away

Ever wonder why airfare from Pittsburgh (Pitt) to Las Vegas (LV) is less than from LV to Pitt? If you fly from Pitt to LV you are going on vacation and you have lots of choices. But if you are going from LV to Pitt you likely have inflexible business or family reasons for travelling…

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Well Chilled Champagne?

A Singaporean investor set a new record for the world’s most expensive champagne by paying $44,000 for a bottle of 1841 Veuve Cliquot. It was salvaged from a shipwreck 165 feet deep off the Aland Islands located between Sweden and Finland. Experts say the Baltic seabed proved to be an ideal wine cellar with low…

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