70 Words

Busy Bodies

05/22/2015

In 3/07, the unemployment rate hit a cyclical low of 4.7%. Today it’s 5.4% and a rate of 4.7% will soon be reached. The question is when. Assuming employment growth of 211,000/month, the 3-year average monthly rate, the unemployment rate…

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Military Memorial

05/22/2015

The Friday File: On 5/5/1868, the Grand Army of the Republic, an advocacy group of Union Army Civil War veterans, established Decoration Day as a day to decorate graves of the war dead with flowers. Following WWI, Memorial Day was…

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Hot Houses

05/20/2015

While housing starts jumped an impressive 20% in April compared to March and permits bounced 10%, hold the applause. March was an unexpectedly lousy month, and through April 2015 all housing starts are up just 5.5% year-over-year; single-family starts are…

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Educational Enrollment

05/19/2015

Despite falling exports, rising inventories, declining industrial production, poor corporate profit growth and weak corporate investment, the labor market is strengthening. The number of students enrolled at four-year for-profit colleges and two-year public colleges, both educational institutions that cater to…

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Reduced Retail

05/18/2015

While retail and food service sales have fallen four of the last five months, retail sales are a lousy predictor of anything. During the Great Recession, retail sales turned negative fully eight months after the recession began! Moreover, at $5.2…

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Munching McDonald’s

05/15/2015

The Friday File: 75 years ago today, brothers Dick and Maurice McDonald opened the first McDonald’s in San Bernardino, CA. In 1948 they reduced their menu and sped up service, inventing fast food. In 1949 came fries, and in 1961…

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City Citizenry

05/14/2015

In 2013, 62.7% of the US population lived in incorporated cities (ICs), up from 62.3% in 2010 and 61.9% in 2000. ICs occupy 3.5% of US land area. The West is most urban, with 76.4% of its population living in…

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Long Life

05/13/2015

Of every 100,000 persons born in 1900, 13 made it to age 100. That same statistic is projected to be 199 for those born in 1950, and 1,968 for those born in 2010! Similarly in 1900, 25% of all persons…

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Conservative Conundrum

05/12/2015

Prime Minister Cameron’s strong victory in U.K. elections last week elated markets as the Tories are considered better able to shrink the stubbornly large UK budget deficit than Labour. But market tranquility will be brief. The rise of the Scottish…

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Grinding Growth

05/11/2015

Friday’s job report showed continued but grindingly slow labor market improvement. Net job growth totaled 223,000 which was OK and the unemployment rate fell to 5.4% from 5.5%. Those working part-time because they can’t find full time work fell by…

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