Nov
29

Yucky Yields

 The yield spread between 10-yr and 1-yr Treasuries has shrunk from a post-recession peak of 3.4 percentage points to just 0.70 percentage points. The problem is in prior Fed rate rising cycles, the yield on the 10-yr rose as faster growth was expected; now the 10-yr yield is trendless. Moreover, Treasury is exacerbating this by shortening the duration of US debt, and long-term rates in Europe and Japan are microscopic.

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